2022 Oscar Predictions

Elsie Aleck ‘24

I donned my A24 half-zip and watched Fight Club for the fifth time in order to make this list. With March 27th just around the corner, please take these predictions with two grains of salt and tear all the red carpet looks to shreds. 


Best Picture

Winner: Belfast (Described as “Roma lite,” this seems like the safest choice. Does that mean that this Best Picture prospect excites me? Not particularly. If I were to get excited, Licorice Pizza would be coated in gold right now.)

CODA

Don't Look Up

Drive My Car

Dune

King Richard

Licorice Pizza

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

Actor in a Leading Role

Winner: Will Smith, King Richard (This category is tough for me, but I think Will Smith takes it—closely followed by Benedict Cumberbatch.)

Javier Bardem, Being the Ricardos

Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog

Andrew Garfield, tick, tick … Boom!

Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

Actress in a Leading Role

Winner: Kristen Stewart, Spencer (Yes, this is wishful thinking on my part but no, I’m not caving and giving this prediction to Jessica Chastain.) 

Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter

Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers

Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos

Actor in a Supporting Role

Winner: Troy Kostur, CODA (Incredible performance, not to mention he would be the first deaf actor to win an Oscar.)

Ciarán Hinds, Belfast

Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog

J.K. Simmons, Being the Ricardos

Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

Actress in a Supporting Role

Winner: Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard 

Jessie Buckley, The Lost Daughter

Ariana DeBose, West Side Story

Judi Dench, Belfast

Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog

Directing

Winner: Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog (A woman has never won this category two years in a row, and Jane is the badass to make that happen.) 

Kenneth Branagh, Belfast

Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Drive My Car

Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza

Steven Spielberg, West Side Story

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Winner: Drive My Car (The writing drives this film (pun not intended) in such a flawless way.)

CODA

Dune

The Lost Daughter

The Power of the Dog

Writing (Original Screenplay)

Winner: Licorice Pizza (Paul Thomas Anderson’s writing is and has always been phenomenal, how would this be his first Oscar win!?)   

Belfast

Don’t Look Up

King Richard 

The Worst Person in the World

Animated Feature Film

Encanto (Lin-Manuel Miranda, I see you. I just don’t see "Dos Oruguitas,” sorry.)

Flee

Luca

The Mitchells vs the Machines

Raya and the Last Dragon

Documentary (Feature)

Winner: Summer of Soul (Give Questlove his Oscar!)

Ascension

Attica

Flee

Writing With Fire

Documentary (Short Subject)

Winner: Audible

Lead Me Home

The Queen of Basketball

Three Songs for Benazir

When We Were Bullies

International Feature Film

Winner: Drive My Car (The only international feature nominated for Best Picture, this should be a clean winner.)

Flee

The Hand of God

Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom

The Worst Person in the World

Film Editing

Winner: Dune

Don’t Look Up

King Richard

The Power of the Dog 

tick...tick...BOOM!

Cinematography

Winner: Dune

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

West Side Story

Sound

Winner: No Time To Die

Belfast

Dune

The Power of the Dog

West Side Story

Music (Original Score)

Winner: Dune (The music in this film tells its own story and it’s incredible.)

Don’t Look Up

Encanto

Parallel Mothers

The Power of the Dog

Music (Original Song)

Winner: "No Time to Die" from No Time to Die (This song slowed and reverb absolutely slaps.)

"Be Alive" from King Richard

"Dos Oruguitas" from Encanto

"Down to Joy" from Belfast

"Somehow You Do" from Four Good Days

Costume Design

Winner: Cruella (Such impressive storytelling through clothes in this film, House of Gucci take notes.)

Cyrano

Dune

Nightmare Alley

West Side Story

Makeup and Hairstyling

Winner: House of Gucci (It would be disgraceful if the film about a fashion house didn’t at least win makeup and hairstyling, although the fact that House of Gucci is not nominated for costume design is embarrassing enough.)

Coming 2 America

Cruella

Dune

The Eyes of Tammy Faye

Production Design

Winner: West Side Story (In the words of my good friend, “They basically recreated the entirety of New York City.”)

Dune

Nightmare Alley

The Power of the Dog

The Tragedy of Macbeth

Visual Effects

Winner: Dune

Free Guy

No Time to Die

Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings

Spider-Man: No Way Home

SLC Phoenix